Over the
years, I have written many and thought about even more, but they have always
been anything but finished. Two things they all had in common: they were all
beginnings, and they were many. They were endless beginnings. In recent years,
I have been reading and writing more than usual. That was the one sport I was
consistently at, and I was good. Then I started having all these dreams almost
every day an hour before dawn. Vivid but mostly incoherent dreams, all
undeniably relevant to me somehow. I’d then wake and forget them later. I should
start leaving a notepad on my bedside table to write them down when I wake up. Sometimes
I’d have these incredible stories. It felt like chasing butterflies. But it was
more like catching dreams. I could use some dreamcatchers nearby as my writing
muse. Alas, I am averse towards gambling of any sorts, it isn’t in my nature.
And that may be why I do not yet dare take the step in writing regularly and
making something more out of it. Because if you are looking for security, look
elsewhere. Writing is a career for gamblers. It isn’t about getting published
or receiving a fat pay check or signing autographs. It’s all about being in a
room, quiet, singular, immersed, and writing. Very little about being a writer
is being afraid of never selling another book, than doubting you’d write
another book. I wish someone had told me to start writing sooner. Do not
hesitate. Do not wait for permission. So two things they had in common and they
were all endless beginnings. I suppose then it’s very simple now that there
should be two rules: I must write, and I must finish what I write.
Friday, August 22, 2014
Sunday, November 10, 2013
A Bookmark in the Park
Yesterday
afternoon, while I was happily minding my own business in an
intelligently-hidden park at this weather-forsaken piece of land, some random excuse
of an old stranger decided to crash my tea party. And not just some random
stranger at that, but possibly the most absorbing and magnetic personality I
have come across thus far in this city.
The
park was not short of oak benches but the old stranger decided, perhaps stirred
by a sense of deep-rooted cultural communal etiquette, to share my bench. Out
of politeness – and habit – I glanced over and dispensed a smile and said “Hi!”
We
started exchanging meaningless remarks; about the weather, who we are, what we
do and so forth. Throughout this initial banter, I noted two very important
things that will determine the rest of the course of this encounter: this
Romanian came to the park empty handed, while I held a book in my hand; and he
spoke with a stentorian subtleness in an accent that made anything uttered by
this old man felt like cotton buds in my ears. Ok, maybe not.
But
that’s when it dawned on me that this Ionel – his name was called – was eager
to return in kind and dispense on me a glut of oral prescription. It was verbal
diarrhoea unleashed, with class. And so I decided to tuck the bookmark in
between the pages and put aside my book. As he revealed with nostalgic pride
that he was one of the hundreds of architects who built the People’s Palace in
Bucharest, I can’t help but discerned a hint of shame seeping through his
porous disposition and made a mental note. “The Palace of the People is seven
times the Palace of Versailles,” Ionel started.
I
nodded on the outset but my mind was trying to recall if I’ve read anywhere
before on the size or enormity of Versailles. My memory had none.
Ionel
nudged me and continued, “And you know the Pentagon? USA? The Palace is the
second largest government building in the world after Pentagon,” he declared in
meek pride.
I
soon learned from him that this “Palace” – which was more like a civic centre –
was commissioned during a dark period in the communist past of Romania’s
history between the 1970’s and 1980’s, by its former communist president.
During his rule, the construction of this Palace scarred Romania deeply in
terms of her people and the landscape. Forced labours were used during its
construction and deaths at the construction site were a common daily occurrence.
And large sections of Bucharest city was cleared – numerous churches demolished
and thousands of people displaced literally overnight – to pave way for its
construction. Eventually, there was a revolution and the president and his wife
was executed; his communist party finally overthrown.
After
listening to his story, I finally understood the hint of shame he briefly
displayed earlier. My neck began to ache as my head was turned to the left –
listening to him – for a very long time. I switched across to the bench
opposite and said, “So it’s kind of like a modern day building of the pyramids.”
“Yes,
yes. Like the pyramids,” Ionel agreed. “But the pyramids are a pride for Egyptians
and a wonder to the world,” he pointed out.
“But
not the Palace?” I tried to conclude.
He
briefly scratched his eyebrow as if the gesture would soften the gravity of his
admission. “No, not really.” I kept
still and silent and allowed him to continue.
“Not
to my generation. More so the younger people today. You see, they are proud of
the Palace and see it as a symbol of Romania democracy today,” he said in an empathetic
tone.
“But
to your generation, it is a symbol and a reminder of your country’s gruesome
communist past,” I stated, not asked.
“Yes, yes. Most of them won’t remember the day
when the Palace was completed, it used more electricity in three hours than all
the two million people in the city used in one day.”
“Wow!
No way,” I was in disbelief. “That must have taxed the people a lot, especially
during those days.”
“It
was ridiculous! Sometimes when the president would fly over the city in his
heli, streets below where he flew had to be closed and emptied of people,” he
waved his hand in disgust.
And
the recollections went on. He would continue to describe the terrible state of
affairs in those days and how he’d secretly
take pictures of what he saw; where people queued for hours in the cold of
winter for meat to be cooked at communal halls, queuing up for cheese, eggs and
sugar, where people scrounged for sugar coupons rationed at 1 kilogram a month,
or a church literally being moved to accommodate new communist flats, or even
men lining up for gas cylinders that never showed up. I got really intrigued on
what he meant by “secretly” taking pictures but decided not to interrupt his
trip down memory lane then.
He
suddenly smiled and his eyes seemed to look right through me when he mentioned
about the gas cylinders. “What were they used for? These gas cylinders,” I
asked quickly.
“Used
for laughing!” and as if to reinforce his statement, he guffawed.
I
just smiled and chuckled lightly and waited for him to continue. “Those days,
the president’s wife, she enforced LPG on buses, claiming to save fuel,” he
scoffed. “They put those long cylinder tanks on top of the buses. Make it look like
spaceship but they were always empty. And men had to sometimes push the buses
around.”
I
laughed out loudly this time to his last remark. It was unbelievable. And as
the conversation went on a little further, I began to piece together that Ionel
seemed to have some sort of a military background or ties. I decided to risk
the question and to my amazement but not surprise, he did. And here is where it
got really interesting.
Apparently,
his uncle was married to the daughter of a very prominent public figure; a TV and
radio producer back in those days, who was showing hints of antipathy towards
the regime in his work and was slowly gathering some popular opinion from the
public. He would sometimes not comply with the government in what was allowed
to be aired through his station.
“My
uncle who was part of the securitate,
was involved in a foreign counter-intelligence operation,” Ionel elaborated.
“Securitate?” I asked about this
unfamiliar term.
“The
secret police,” Ionel explained sternly.
I
nodded and he continued, “One day, he and his team found an information leak
that led back to his wife’s father. They found out this man was actually a
defector. A traitor and a fugitive from a neighbouring country.”
“So
was he revealed?” I inquired.
“No,
no. Too sensitive. At that time, the politics and economy was very stressed. The
party would not risk it. So the securitate
was instructed to handle it differently. First, they confirmed his identity
from Bulgaria. When they got the governmental communique through, this man was
gas.”
“So
the Bulgarian communique obviously came through? Did it do the job then?”
“Totally,
yes. He was condemned as a defector of the state and was accused of treason in
the strongest terms.”
“Did
that finished him?” I asked.
“It
weakened his public status very much. There were few people who accepted his
stories of the party now. Yes, he was revealed as a liar. And even worse, yes, he
was caught at it.”
“Caught
at it, yes,” I said thoughtfully and mimicked his affirmative response
unconsciously. “So merely to be sneaky is to be sly and that may be commendable,
while to be caught is to be stupid and that is never commendable.”
“Yes,
yes.”
“Then
he was no longer a problem?”
“The
securitate could never be too sure of
that one. At that time, they thought he may recover. He still had his station
and his supporters. History shows us examples of men who have come back after
disasters even such as this one.”
I
suddenly lit up to his simple but often taken for granted dose of wisdom there.
“So they didn’t try to execute him?”
Ionel
shook his head. “That would be bad policy. They did not want to create a martyr
or to make themselves appear to be dictator.” At that, Ionel made a mocking
laugh and I joined in.
I
smiled approvingly. “But you would think that since the president is already a
dictator, he would just proceed to execute him anyway on grounds that leaders
in the past before him would have taken forceful action anyway and were admired
as a result and considered to be of strong and decisive character.”
“True,
yes. But we lived in troubled times back then. Execution was not needed. The
party wanted to achieve their purpose in a way that will still make them seem tolerant
and reasonable.”
I
briefly shuffled my feet uneasily at the thought of those words. At this point,
I couldn’t be sure if Ionel was actually proud of what they tried to do or
resented what they had achieved. Maybe it was both; the unconscious doublespeak
employed by Ionel wasn’t exactly lost on me – as I realised later when I did my
own finding – from the strong Soviet ties the communist regime had at that time.
Ionel
raved on oblivious to my thoughts. “If we executed the man, the people would
see it like revenge. And maybe they would think it was dishonourable. But the securitate was ordered to always create
a show for the people that the president has a kind – even fatherly kind – of
reputation to the people. No favouritism.”
“So
what action was taken then? What are you trying to say?” I asked with
credulity.
“What
I’m saying is that this man offended the sensibilities of Bulgaria and as the
president, he was shocked at his crimes against the state. So what better can
he do but to hand this traitor back to the Bulgarians and let them deal with
him? Like this, the president would be commended on his proper management of
foreign relations and keeping the state of peace in that region.”
“I
see. So did the Bulgarians execute him?”
“They
would, yes. Treason was capital punishment then I think, so yes. Or at best he
will be in prison for life.”
“This
president was quite smart. He got the credit for tolerance and mercy and
Bulgaria got to do the dirty work for him,” I quipped with eagerness.
“That
would be the case, yes, if he was handed over to them. But you still don’t see,
no?” he jibed at me.
“What
do you mean? He wasn’t?” I furrowed and creased my brow intently with confusion.
“If
he was handed over to them, they will still create a martyr of the man.”
“Now
you confused me. So what actually happened then?”
“I
heard the securitate gave him a
choice. They told him that the president’s concern for the welfare of his men
and his people pushed him to hand the traitor over to Bulgaria for trial but
his humanity was afraid that his – the traitor’s – government may be too
severe.”
I
suddenly understood the psychological underhand that was being played here and
cut in, “Like pleading to his compassionate side, his gratitude?”
“Gratitude,
yes,” Ionel nodded. “So the president offered him a different way out; exile to
a different place where he claimed to
have come from – not Bulgaria – to live there forever in confinement,
low-profile and peace. And he ordered securitate
forces to keep him under house arrest.”
“And
he really took exile?”
“Yes.
If he didn’t, he would be committing suicide by going back to Bulgaria. And my
uncle told me this man wasn’t the suicide type. He would choose exile as the
only logical way out, although maybe not so heroic. Because he will become like
refugee, and a refugee could not lead any movement against the party. His
followers will become lost and disenfranchised.”
“Why
would that happen?”
“Because
people would follow a martyr like fanatics. But people won’t follow a coward.
Very difficult,” he explained with a grin.
“All
those people knew what they were doing. It’s a very, very good story,” I said. And
now that finally his story was over, I still couldn’t shake off the splinter of
thought in my head regarding his earlier comment of how he “secretly” took
pictures in the street at that time.
“Ionel,
I have something to ask. You said earlier that you secretly took photos of what
was happening at that time. How were you allowed to do it? Wouldn’t a communist
state ban such an open act of freedom and expression?” I asked.
He
laughed, and briefly scratched his eyebrow again. “Easy, boy. I was doing
part-time photography for sports news. So I had permit to carry my camera.”
“Wow!
No wonder. You were committing your very own crimes against the state under
their very noses,” I exclaimed. “But that was just the means – a very good one –
of how you achieved it. But how did you bring yourself to do it? Wasn’t it
risky and dangerous?”
“Just
understand the policemen’s psychology. Their mind, very strange,” he joked. “If
you were scared, they will know. And they will be aggressive. I was not afraid,
did not show it. And they were not aggressive with me. Confidence. Don’t hide
if you don’t want to get caught.”
I
laughed vehemently with agreement and said, “A lie that isn’t ashamed of itself
could only possibly hope to succeed.” He shook my hand at that.
I
mentally thanked George Orwell as I wrapped up my conversation and walked away
from another very interesting encounter. Definitely a better story by far than
the book I was reading.
Sunday, September 8, 2013
A Game of Drones
Barrack Obama has always
been distinctly known for his gift with words and oratory prowess. Some may
still question his Nobel Peace Prize investiture to this day, but all would
agree that he managed to entrap his audience in inspirational uplift with his
acceptance speech all those years ago. I am not a believer but after reading
that transcript I have to admit, it was a rousing speech, “To say that force is
sometimes necessary is not a call to cynicism – it is a recognition of history;
the imperfections of man and the limits of reason.” I am however a skeptic. It
means I am willing to change my mind when new evidence presents itself. And
this time, it would seem his words have trapped him.
If I was to paraphrase his same
quote using the key words and put its context against the recent world
headlines, it would seem ironic that the situation now in Syria “recognizes the
imperfect man to be historically cynical on his say for the limited reasons in
the necessity of force about to be called.”
War
rhetoric is dangerous. Even more so when a statement is proclaimed for the
world to hear. Obama did himself no favor where soft power maneuvering is concerned
when he spoke out last year about drawing a so-called invisible moral “red line”
that cannot be crossed if the United States ever started to see chemical
weapons being utilized by the Assad regime. If Obama could have then known the
ramifications of such a statement more than a year later today, he would
probably agree that making this White House statement in March last year would
be like Barrack-ading himself with no outs, pardon the puny pun. Effectively,
what this means is that the escalation of the recent chemical weapons use in Syria
will cause him to lose face if he fails to react decisively to the alleged
sarin gas murder of more than 1,000 civilians by the Assad regime.
The risk
of losing face is not really a good reason for attacking another country, no? Yes, wars
have been waged for less. But Obama is in an impasse. His reputation and the
credibility of America’s foreign policy are on the line. That is why he is
buying time by putting forth the decision for the authorization of US military
intervention in Syria to the US Congress for voting and counting on Russia and China
exercising their veto as permanent members of the UN Security Council to put a
lid on his blunder. In that capacity, he would appear to be living up to his
words, while leaving the outcome of actions to the hands of others without
actually wavering in his commitment.
To put
matters into perspective, the US and other governments in Europe and the Middle
East are not credulous with what has transpired in the Syrian sandscape today.
They share the same responsibility that has transformed Syria into a killing
field by overtly seeking the violent overthrow of Assad. Almost anyone can
argue that without their involvement, Assad’s regime would likely have remained
repressive. But no one can dispute the site of mass death and destruction that
Syria has now become with more than 100,000 people dead and many of the world’s
oldest cultural and archaeological treasures gone forever.
In order
to understand the bearing and weight of the Syrian crisis today, we need to
consider how the civil war effectively took off. The first phase started off as
an internal protest which erupted from the Arab Spring events in 2011 in the
usual grievances under a brutal authoritarian regime. The protests became a
military rebellion when parts of the Syrian army seceded from the regime to establish
the rebel Free Syrian Army we know today. Turkey then became the first country
to support the rebellion by providing refuge to the rebel forces along its
border. The violence intensified in the second phase when the US, while leading
other countries along, pledged financial and logistical aid to the rebels.
A month
later, then Secretary of State Hillary Clinton seemed to presage Obama’s
earlier red line rhetoric by declaring “We think Assad must go.” Needless to
say, this type of open-ended statement in the absence of visible means to
achieve the goal at that time has done much to fuel military escalation in
Syria. And now it has pushed the US government to defend its credibility
against a red line in the sand that should never have been drawn.
Without
taking anything away from the condemnations of the US on the regime’s recent
use of chemical weapons in quelling the rebellion, current Secretary of State
John Kerry is right to call the use of sarin gas a “moral obscenity”. But is
killing civilians with chemical weapons morally more obscene than shooting,
bombing or starving them to death? Was it more immoral to kill roughly 100,000
people in Hiroshima with an atom bomb than killing more people in Tokyo in one
single night of incendiary bombing? Was it more immoral to gas Jews than to shoot
them down into open pits? The true moral distinction here surely lies in the killing,
and not the methods used.
The moral
outrage expressed in the rhetoric of Obama, Clinton and Kerry, no matter how
justified, is not a sufficient reason for going to war. Back in the 1950s and
1960s, more than 40 million Chinese perished when Mao Zedong oversaw the
democide and systematic human rights abuse of his country but no one in their
right mind would even dared whispered that a military intervention in China would
be a good idea.
So the
issue of legalities is hardly a reason to go to war, no? Because although using
chemical weapons are deemed flagrant actions in violation of international
norms and the laws of war, as stated in the Chemical Weapons Convention, Syria
never actually signed it. But it is guilty by being party to the Geneva
Protocol. As such, there are reasonable grounds to treat Assad as a war
criminal in which he should be indicted at the International Criminal Court,
which is incidentally a treaty that the US has never ratified. But when the US
overtly declared its support for the Syrian insurgency and fronted the attempt
to depose Assad, it effectively bypassed and undermined the United Nations’
peace initiative, then being led by former UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan, of
calling for an armistice followed by a negotiated political transition. This
preemptive action only served to further harden Assad’s resistance as well as
the resolve of his two allies in the UN Security Council: Russia and China.
The semblance
of justice, especially when it is distorted, are weak grounds as impetus for
intervention as well, no? Because let us be honest, no one is going to shoot
missiles into Russia or China for the sake of saving face, or upholding human
rights and international standards of warfare. It is no state-secret that “humanitarian
intervention” usually takes place in the case of a “weak” country where no big
power is involved. A US intervention cannot guarantee an end to the civil war. But
a US missile will guarantee its direct participation.
So where
do we really draw the line? Despite the questionable motivations behind some of
these major Western powers, how can any responsible governments ignore when
innocent civilians are being slaughtered? How many deaths constitute genocide?
Perhaps it is not even a question of numbers but a matter of intent.
We know
that morality, legality and justice has very little to do with America’s
motivations. It is the proxy war with Iran that is more likely to be the
endgame here. Seeking to depose Assad will deprive Iran of an important ally in
the region, one that borders Israel, whose military and political benefactor is
none other than the US. The absence of any rational motivation here is stark.
But if there is any kind of rationale at all, however weak it may be, it seems
to concern Iran and Israel more than Syria. There are many authoritarian regimes
in that region which the US does not try to overthrow. In fact, some of them
are even America’s close allies. So then, why does the US continue to support a
deadly insurrection that is escalating dangerously?
Because
the truth is that the US and its close allies still believe they should be the
ones to determine who governs in that region. Assad must go not because he is
authoritarian but because he is allied with Iran which makes him a regional
threat in the eyes of the US, Israel, Turkey, several Gulf countries and other
major Western powers.
And this
time, with the use of chemical weapons in Syria, the US is once again bypassing
the UN by declaring its intention to use its military force to deter, disrupt,
prevent, and degrade the potential for, future uses of chemical weapons or other
weapons of mass destruction by invoking the United Nations Security Council
Resolution on the proliferation of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons
which constitutes a threat to international peace and security. I’m sorry, but
is the Resolution’s title called the United States Security Council Resolution?
There is
no doubt where all this will lead to should the US direct a unilateral attack
against Syria. It will more likely inflame the region further than resolve the
crisis there. Instead, America should galvanize the UN and its Security Council
to condemn the Assad regime and refer such criminal violations to the
International Criminal Court. Concurrently, the Obama administration should
move away from its inherited neoconservative approach and find a common ground
with Russia and China to enforce the Chemical Weapons Convention. It is time
the US should abandon its fantasy that it can or should determine who rules in
the Middle East. If Obama fails, while acting multilaterally, Russia and China
will find themselves pressured into international isolation. After all, Obama
did once said that “adhering to standards strengthens those who do, and
isolates – and weakens – those who don’t.”
Obama
should then consider abandoning his cynical strategy in using Syria as a proxy
against Iran. Isn’t it already obvious that America’s support for the rebellion
has not addressed Syria’s crisis to this very day nor resolve its issues with
Iran?
For Obama
would do well to remember the very clear link between the red line he regrettably
drew for Syria and the one he has drawn, perhaps even equally unwise, for Iran
to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons. Or else the world shall bear
witness to another declaration for military intervention, and possibly another
war, in the near future.
Do the
people in that region be watchful in the days ahead and search the skies for hints of glistening
silver that will herald the impending whine and buzz of attack drones? Or does
America take the silver lining from the recent new president in Iran and search
for a modus vivendi for a change of
course on their respective foreign policy? Because simply saving Obama’s honor
hardly seems to worth the greater risk.
Sunday, December 16, 2012
America's Cliff Hanger
As the end of 2012
approaches, politicians, economists, and the greater American public in general
wait with abated breath at the oncoming fiscal cliff that is about to sweep
across the United States. This surely qualifies as an economic phenomenon that
is bound to affect the greater part of the world. Or is it? Perhaps America’s
Cliff Hanger knows a thing or two. I’ll get to that.
Could it be even
possible that this so-called fiscal cliff
is nothing more than a figment of one person’s genetically risk averse mind? But
also a mind that is creative, with a nationalistic inner motivation? Whatever
his drive and determination was, the US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
effectively captured the attention of lawmakers and the broader public when he
used the term “fiscal cliff” earlier this year to describe the country’s
impending economic progression into recession at the end of this year. It was a
very bipartisan move from Bernanke at that time and sounded like a really good
idea too.
Why not use a very
real and sizable public threat to rally bickering politicians into compromising
and collaboration? Except that the threat didn’t work. The purpose of threatening
American politicians and lawmakers of a fiscal cliff was to force a cooperative
outcome in an increasingly uncooperative undertaking. But this backfired in the
absence of a credible enforcer and an insufficient amount of mutual assurances.
In the end, the parties involved felt that they had more to gain from the
uncooperative behaviour. The perception that came from sheer public pressure caused
politicians on both sides of the US Congress political divide to view any
compromise as a sign of weakness.
So what is this “fiscal
cliff” that has stirred up an entire nation so much? It is basically the very
combination of tax increases and spending cuts that is scheduled to begin at
the end of this year after the expiration of the Bush-era tax cuts. It is not surprising
that the term “fiscal cliff” was abused by the media to whip up a financial
hysteria among the populace. The media, after all, thrive on dramatic
headlines. Its dramatization of the impending financial and economic outlook in
the US is akin to the Y2K sensation more than a decade ago.
To coin such an
outlook to that of a “cliff” is to say that if you stepped off an edge, you
would fall very fast without any control at all to your relative speed, and
fall very hard, and then not get up for a very, very long time. This is
Bernanke’s dramatic version.
But we all know that
in reality, the scheduled financial changes resemble more of a fluid problem –
a kind of fiscal “slope” if you will. Income withholding takes a long time to
adjust so the full effect of tax increases will not be felt immediately. The
government also has discretion regarding the implementation of spending cuts,
which will be in phases and within the government’s control. This is the
non-dramatic version.
America and the world
could really use a little less drama from the media. The usage of words here to
describe the country’s financial situation matters greatly because it sends
people into panic – people in places of high power, reach and influence. That
is why there are even talks of people who want to make big cuts in Social
Security and Medicare – the country’s two main entitlement programs. This
creates a mentality of self-preservation and survival within the government; if
we are about to head off a cliff, extreme measures need to be taken. Cutting
pensions, unemployment benefits and health care certainly qualifies as completely
inappropriate and unnecessary.
In a less extreme
scenario, the very people who refuse to consider raising taxes – Republicans in
the US Congress’ House of Representatives – will then suddenly find themselves
with a very weak hand indeed, if faced with a fiscal slope instead. Be that as it may, the House Republicans will persistently
refuse to vote for any increases in tax rates during the current lame-duck
congressional session.
So, it’s very
unlikely that congressional Democrats and Republicans will come to an agreement
in extending the Bush-era tax cuts for the middle class, while allowing them to
expire for the rich. They will keep on bickering with each other legislatively
until the last week of the year, then step onto the brink of the supposed “cliff”
and see who blinks at the last moment.
But it won’t be
either the Democrats or the Republicans who blink. On the contrary, and
transcending the line-up of the Congress – enters America’s very own Cliff Hanger
star – Obama, who will step off the “cliff” and take the fall, but not in the
way our minds traditionally associate a fall with. The President has the power
to make an executive decision and veto any extension of the Bush-era tax cuts
that will expire by the end of this year.
How does the single
act of an individual will uphold the fiscal legislative democracy of this
country? When the tax rates have been restored to its previous level, Obama
could present his own tax-cut plans that will provide a greater benefit to
lower-income Americans, as was promised during his presidential re-election
campaign.
How will Obama’s new
tax-cut package be different from the one before? It is a simple process of linear
mathematical efficiency – of identifying the constant and the variable to form
a replicating model. Benjamin Franklin once shared that “in this world, nothing
can be said to be certain, except death and taxes”. And we know that nothing is
more volatile than the economy. So tax cuts will be linked to the state of the
economy. As employment recovers, tax cuts will wind down. Conversely, a larger
tax cut could be proposed should the economy outlook in 2013 is anticipated to
be weaker. Either way, this approach gives America’s long-term fiscal prospects
a more viable solution.
What will then happen
to the congressional gridlock in Washington? A smart leader is a person who
gets you to do what he wants, by making you think it was your own choice. So,
the House Republicans will now be presented with a choice – do they vote
against Obama’s tax cuts week after week that would actually help millions of
Americans while letting the economy decline? Or do they vote for a deal that
cut taxes relative to where they would be otherwise? The latter choice gives
the House Republicans leverage over the tax cut rates, while consigning them to
Obama’s tax-cut package. With this, the House Republicans not only endorse a
deal that supports the economy, but also restores revenue to the level preceding
that of the disastrous Bushonomics experiment. And restoring revenues to the
country was the centrepiece of Romney’s Republican presidential campaign. This
is a win-win scenario for the US Congress as a whole.
If and when the US
vetoes the extension of the Bush-era tax cuts and enact the Obama tax cuts, I’d
be curious to see how Obama’s plan to tax the upper 2% income earners can help
fix the economy. Because that figure will bring in $80 billion a year – the government
currently spends approximately $10 billion a day, where $4 billion is borrowed.
In short, taxing the super-rich will run the government for 8 days!
So how does this add
up? While tax cuts are increased for the super-rich and decreased for the
middle class, spending cuts will even the scale a little on the other end of the
fiscal spectrum. But Obama has also been known to put in place spending cuts on
the table that are greater than what would normally please his electoral base.
In the end, as
America heads steadily down the fiscal slope in early 2013, the big question
remains whether they can strengthen revenue in an appropriate manner that is
consistent with its renewed economic growth. Because this very fiscal slope will
give Obama the edge to turn the historical partisan political gridlock in
Washington around and even possibly bend history in the process,
culminating in a potential economic decline, rather than an economic recession.
On a somber note, my thoughts go
out to the tragedy of the Connecticut school shooting for the 28 lives lost,
including 20 children.
Sunday, December 9, 2012
Waitless-ness
I woke up this
morning fresh from the memory of the conversation I had with an old friend from
overseas last night. We caught up on each other’s life events, talked about our
plans and briefly skirted on the idea of our own future possibilities.
When I woke this
morning, I had this sense of illusory weight and drag on my being and psyche.
My mind could only zero in on this singular thought that became to form – how much
of our life is spent lost in waiting?
Too much.
We wait for our
friends. We can’t wait to be out of the traffic jam. We wait in lines. We can’t
wait for our dreams to come true. We wait for the perfect person to come along.
We can’t wait to have a better life. We wait for the day we achieve our goals
and make them a reality.
And we keep waiting
on. Thinking that the good life we’ve always wanted is coming, and soon enough
we’ll be there.
But what if we
stopped waiting for things to happen? What if we stopped trying to make our
dreams come true? What if we stopped wishing and hoping and expecting? And what
if, that good life you’ve always wanted is already here? And the only thing you
got to do is stop looking ahead and just realize, just notice what you already
have.
Just look at where
you are right now physically in this very moment, and in your life. Instead of
searching for good things to happen or striving so hard to make something good
come true, just take a pause. Is it already good? Is it great? If yes, then you
are already in that very “future". So why bother looking towards that future
then? Unless you don’t think what you have is already great. Then maybe you’re
not noticing the right things in the right details.
When you are stuck in
traffic, most of us will catch ourselves thinking “I can’t wait to get there!”
But think again. Aren’t you already there? Where is there? There is where in the middle of a jam-packed highway, you
see clouds and trees and you can appreciate its natural beauty with your own
tired eyes. There is when you feel your legs are tired from the long driving
hours, but you realize it’s an opportunity to feel your legs. And there is what
you do with your eyes and legs after the jam is over; awesome stuff where many
of us take for granted – where we often think it sucks.
We all don’t realize
this but we participate in the miracle of life, daily. We often succumb to the
belief that all these things are routine, dull, predictable and mundane. If
your legs are tired, pull over, rest at a stop and stretch. Stare up blankly
into the sky and soak in its beauty. Realize the very eyes and legs that were tired
and aching, are also the very eyes and legs that gave you this possibility to
do what you just did. Then recognize that they actually don’t suck at all, they
are awesome.
We like to set goals
in our life. And that’s just how the most of us are brought up. We imagine what
these little dreams of our future will be like and focus on them every day. We
keep working on them and eventually yes, we do get closer and closer to that great
future. But when you’re finally there, then what? You set your next goal? And
then the next? And the next?
It just never ends.
The very so-called forward-looking attitude you’ve fostered to drive you over
the years doesn’t end when you get to that goal. It only ends when you have no
longer any life left, and then there’s no future to look forward to.
The only way it can
end is for you to stop looking towards that goal now, and look at where you are
instead. We often confuse our dreams and goals with what is real. The goal may
sound great: make a million dollars, buy a fancy house, complete a big project,
work out and get a nice body, etc. But the truth is that all these are
fantasies. And when it finally comes true, it won’t happen as how you’ve always
imagined it. It will somewhat still feel like a normal life – the same life you
had before achieving these goals. Life won’t be better, and never will be until
you change your mindset from desiring a better life, to realizing that life is
already incredible.
What would you do if
you don’t have anything you want? Some of us continue to wait for the perfect
person to come along. That person may or may not show up. But the tragedy isn’t
in not finding that dream lover. It is that you’re waiting for happiness. Just
remember that they aren’t better than what you already have, which is a
ridiculously unlikely event called life.
So live your life and
not be caught up in the expectations of living instead.
When you achieve
this, you realize a certain kind of living form. Perhaps something like a
feeling of waitless-ness. It is like the feeling of blood rushing to your
head, because your heart doesn’t have anything to pump against. And it’s
awesome.
Saturday, December 8, 2012
Project Peeks: Noah (Where's My Ark?)
What is the first thing
in your mind when the words Bible and movie appear together in the same sentence?
I hope you didn’t think it was Armageddon.
Although I wouldn’t put it past Michael Bay to transform anything or anyone, even their religion and girlfriends.
But when was the last
time you remember being treated to a biblical movie? Maybe most of you will vaguely
recall the widely-popular and highly-controversial movie The Passion of the Christ back in 2004 by Mel “Mad Max” Gibson. Mad Max? You will see my point as you
read down. And if you haven’t seen this movie, then you haven’t missed much. Except
probably not watch one of the most graphical, violent and edifying piece of artistic
interpretation of arguably one of the most well-known chapters in the Bible –
the crucifixion of Jesus of Nazareth.
Given the nature of The Passion, the elements of this movie
were much confined to its drama genre, but thankfully it was anything but
boring. This is expected of course, given the chronicle-filled nature of the
Bible. It is no wonder that most biblical movies (with the very few notable
exception of some like The Passion, Ben-Hur and The Ten Commandments), have never been globally successful in a done-to-death
genre.
Most successful films’
formula in recent times spells only one word – epic. It is an easy formula because the epic genre is mainly a
derivative of fantasy, and money. Lots and lots of money. But how do you apply
that into a biblical chronicle? And make lots and lots of money?
You pray, you go to
church and you do charities in the name of God. Ok, I was kidding.
That is why when Noah, Darren Aronofsky’s next film was announced
this year, I thought that the Black Swan
director was making a traditional version of the familiar tale. The only thing
that is going to be traditional about Noah
is Aronofsky’s penchant for controversial movies that are often associated with
violent, bleak and depressing subject matter. He even loses the word “Ark” from
the traditional title.
So no, Noah is not going to be a retelling of
the biblical figure as much as the most of us would like to think it is going
to be. A close adaptation of the chronicle of Noah’s Ark; now wouldn’t that
have been boring and predictable, with no money? Just like how The Passion was biblically inaccurate
but artistically resonant, graphically encapsulating, and faithful to the New
Testament, Noah will accomplish the
same for the Old Testament.
Before I go on, I
wish to point out that Aronofsky is a genius for making this movie. The pieces
all fall into place. Aside from his childhood fascination with Noah’s story
from the Bible, here is what I’ve spotted: what Mel Gibson did for The Passion, Noah will do the same for Mad Max (the character, not the film;
although both are the same). Confused yet?
And that is how Noah will turn out. This is Aronofsky’s Noah. He is going to be a Mad Max-style
warrior placed in a pseudo-apocalyptic world where he has to face and survive
six-armed giants. Intrigued already?
He isn’t the
patriarchal prophet you remember from the Bible. This is a warrior out of the
depths of ancient time; a world where pity has no place. A place marked by violence
and barbarism. A fighter and also a healer who is subjected to imminent visions
of the end of the world consumed by an endless wave of deluge. Absorbed yet?
For a movie this
religiously epic, you need an equally epic cast with a balanced mix. So let me
roll down the red carpet and present Sir Anthony Hopkins, Jennifer Connelly and
Ema Watson. And no, I’m sorry to disappoint but even Hopkins is way too old to be
playing Noah. That honour rolls nicely to Russell Crowe of Luxley (please
excuse his last on-screen disaster of Robin
Hood). And yes, for the first time in more than a decade, Crowe and
Connelly will be reunited on-screen to work that magic thing they got going so
well for them in A Beautiful Mind. Impressed
yet?
You can have a peek
at the look and feel of this upcoming religious epic movie at the end of this
article by checking out the video showcasing the graphic novel written by
Aronofsky. It is published in French and drawn by Marvel and DC comics veteran
artist Henrichon; created to help promote the film to Paramount Pictures. Unless
you read French, just appreciate the gravity of the graphics and its dark
undertone here – the score also tells you a bit about the mood and bleakness of
this movie.
Noah is scheduled for release on the 28th of March, 2014.
Click below for the
graphic novel showcase:
A Windowed Cry
Most people wonder
what it really means to grow up. But what most people fail to realize, when
asking this, is that the real question should be what does growing up really means? There is a very distinct and
fundamental difference here in asking this question, using the very same words
but phrased in a totally different order.
What does it really
means to grow up? Your typical answers for this would be varied: experiences,
failures, responsibilities, achievements, self-redefinition and so on. All are easy
answers to an otherwise literal question.
What does growing up
really means then? Now, the answer to this would be something! And something
totally unexpected too. Because it depends on what you believe in.
And what I truly
believe in? Is that we never really grow up. It is something I’ve seen it with
my own eyes. In friends, with the people you work with, people you tolerate,
families and even strangers.
What I really see is
that we all just learn how to act better as we age. And that is what growing up
really means, I think – we become better at acting out our feelings to the
people we care about, and the people we tolerate. Yes, we all yearn to have at
least that someone in life whom we can share everything and anything with, and
we do it, almost completely. But here is the truth: we never really reveal
ourselves fully even to our loved ones.
And that’s ok. It’s
not selfish. It’s not strange. It’s not even hypocritical. It’s just the way we
are; it’s in our nature to sometimes keep even the smallest of mystery to
ourselves. We are not hiding. We are….searching.
That is why a child’s
words are the purest in form and definition. That is why many of us often find
the simplest and truest of wisdom in a child’s utterances. It is not that they
are innocent words; they are just unscripted words – unbiased by the mental
filters we grown-ups have been accustomed to put on over the years.
It is why the
strongest bond with our children is made during their early years, not later.
It is in those years where they reveal the most to us. They laugh the hardest
and cry the loudest. And these two physical emotions are the best measure to a
person’s true self.
A laugh may tell us
who someone is when they are around others, but a cry is what really reveals
them. That is why we do our crying in private.
Everyone wears a mask
and every so often, each of us stand in front of a mirror and look at
ourselves. We stare at us. Some look past themselves. Others look into
themselves. And then there are those who look at their own superficial bodies
and faces for beauty to them are skin-deep. But true beauty goes deeper. Only
tears reveal a person’s true self. That is why our eyes are the only window
into our souls. That is why we never cry in front of mirrors.
Each of us believe
that we share our innermost-self to the people closest to us, when we cry privately
in their presence, but little do most of us see it – we still pretend at a subconsciously
emotional level because we still try to keep something for ourselves during
this most intimate moment.
We try to open up
when we shed a tear
Hoping others will
see our age without fear
But what the mirrors
fail to try
Is to reveal this act
that is called a windowed cry
Thursday, November 29, 2012
Fight of the Bumblebee
Every week, the BBC publishes a 60 second idea of a global thinker from
the world of philosophy, science or arts. These thinkers are given a minute to
put forward a radical, inspiring or controversial idea – no matter how
improbable – that they believe will change the world. I’m definitely no global
thinker. But I was very drawn by the concept of this think-tank initiative from
the BBC.
If I had a chance to write to the BBC, here’s what I’ll propose. They
are not new ideas but a collection of concepts, studies and researches that I
went through in search of some insight. Driven by pure curiosity, interest and a
deep-seeded personal concern for this world and its future, I’ve put together some
of the more notable ideas to form a plausible solution based on my opinions.
I always believe that the best kind of approach in providing resolution
to global issues is not to create new ideas, but to blend together a practical
solution based on components of existing ideas.
Let me start off by asking you this: have you ever wondered how much do
you really contribute to the society? To the world? Because the solution I’m
proposing will enable us to measure our “real” contributions to the world. This
will redefine our society and how we dispense reward in accordance to our now
quantifiable contributions. But for this to happen, it requires our thinking to
be uplifted. This, in itself, is the real challenge for the world.
So to define what this “real” contribution is, we need to ask ourselves
how much of what we do is really benefitting humanity? In our current day, the
answer is based on how we humans perceive ourselves in the eyes of the society
and the world.
If the world thinks that being a philanthropist is noble, the society
accepts that it is altruistic. If the world perceives that being a celebrity is
prominent, the society accepts that it is a high income profession. And the
world will allot the publicly perceived reward in accordance to its real (false)
value. In these two extreme scenarios, it is clear which effort benefits humanity
more. But because of our deep-rooted perception on the intrinsic values of
jobs, the philanthropist role becomes unsustainable and unappealing. What we have
today is a historical culture of materialistic society built upon centuries of
socioeconomic indoctrination, whose own civilization planning outlook is only
limited to the next ten to twenty years.
How do we then redefine our contributions to the world that will usher
in a change? For it to be even remotely world-changing and sensible, we have to
be guided by two very important tenets. The change has to be environmentally
sustainable and culturally regenerative. In saying that, the endeavor needs to
be directed towards the considerations of ecology and its derivative economics.
We have to shift our human culture away from traditional socioeconomics beliefs
to a more tenable ecology economics thinking (eco-economics).
What is eco-economics? It is in essence the consideration of economics
within our ecology instead of technology. Its disciplines address the relationships
of coevolution between human economies and natural ecosystems. And it is
defined by justice, time and space. The four key enablers that are critical
here is the ecologic efficiency, carrying capacity, legitimacy mechanisms,
coexistence and counteradaptation, which I will not go into detail.
Then what is this “contribution” in the context of eco-economics? Think
of human output in terms of energy transfer here. By burning our bodies in a
microbomb calorimeter, you will find that a human being contains about six or
seven kilocalories per gram of weight. To sustain it at that level, we have to
consume a lot of calories throughout our lifetime. The contribution we are
talking about here is more of how many calories we create by our efforts, or
send forth to our future generations.
How does the concept of passing on our calories work? As a species, we
humans do it very indirectly, obviously. And because this transfer is so
intangible, it involves a lot of speculative judgment. To ensure any of this
makes probable sense, we need to assign values to a number of non-physical
things we inherently do in our culture. If not, then by pure definition,
electricians, mechanics, reactor builders and other infrastructural workers
would always rate as the most productive members of society. Then you will have
your artists, singers, writers, and the likes seen as contributing nothing at
all.
Will the reward then be proportionately awarded with respect to the
contribution? It has to, but not in the way of how we understand it today. Our
current socioeconomic conditions consist of powerful people from the current
power structure arbitrarily assigning numerical values to non-numerical things
and pretending they haven’t just made those numbers up, which they have. And if
they did, then similarly here by pure definition, actuaries, stock brokers,
bankers and other financial service providers would always rate among the most
highly paid professions in the world. And you will have your farmers, law
enforcements, geobotanists, teachers and the likes seen as not being paid well
enough.
So how productive do you think you really are just by existing on this
planet? Think in terms of efficiency. The basic equation to calculate human
efficiency is simple: the calories you produce, divided by the calories you
consume, and multiply that by one hundred to get it in percentage. But there is
one fundamental problem here: humans are not in the case of a classic
efficiency model.
What is a classic efficiency model? It is basically about passing along
calories to one’s predator within a food chain. Ten percent of energy passed on
from one consumer level (trophic level) to the next is the classic average in
every food chain. This is because the amount of energy transferred between trophic
levels decreases as energy is lost from the system due to movement, excretion,
reproduction etc. And this is also why organisms at a higher trophic level need
to eat more organisms from the lower level to gain sufficient energy. This in
essence makes most predators inefficient creatures, including humans.
And why it can’t be applied to humans? Let’s look at lions for instance,
which are at the top of their food chain. They typically have ranges of
hundreds of square miles and do not have any natural predators, not because
they are tough and strong, but because nature has deemed it not worth the
effort. Therefore the model can’t really be applied to humans because
similarly, we do not have any natural predators. In our case, it’s not a matter
of predators feeding on us. As I’ve previously mentioned, it is a matter of how
much we transfer energy to our future generations.
How do we then relate this efficiency back into eco-economics? By
assigning a certain calorie-equivalent numerical value to all kinds of human
jobs, we can determine the efficiency of a certain profession. This will
encourage people to make their living based on a calculation of their real
contribution to human ecology. Then it is only a matter of manipulating one’s
efforts to reduce how many calories they use to increase their ecological
efficiency.
A classic case representing this relationship is the argument of energy
consumption between the developing Southern nations versus the industrialized
Northern nations. The ecologic basis for that argument was that no matter how
much the industrial nations produced, they could never be as efficient as the
South because the South simply consumes lesser energy. Do recall that all
predators’ efficiency is low. That is why lions need to consume more animals.
That is why the more advanced Northern nations consume more energy. In
hindsight, people should really be rewarded in proportion to their overall
contribution to the system, not just separately based on their consumption or
production which can be distorting.
But aren’t we already doing that? One may argue that this is no
different from the current economics that already exists – where people are
rewarded based on merit. As I’ve mentioned before, we are considering eco-economics,
not socioeconomics.
Have you ever wondered whether the job you are doing is a real job or
not? What is a real job? The meritocracy system that currently exists in our
modern day economics are loosely built upon the creation of phantom work. This
simply means many of the jobs in our society today are assigned unreal values.
For example, the entire multinational corporate executive working class
does nothing a computer couldn’t already do given our advancements in present
day technology. Thus, we should stop considering economics within the confines
of our technology. What we need to do is to approach this within the framework
of our ecology. Because there are also whole categories of parasitical jobs
that add nothing to the system in terms of ecological accounting i.e. advertising,
marketing, sales, hedge fund trading etc. These jobs are merely an apparatus
for making money from the manipulation of money. It is not only wasteful, but
corrupting.
How do you then determine if a job is relevant in an eco-economic
culture? Because all these phantom and parasitical jobs are speculative judgments,
a specific caloric value needs to be assigned to such a variety of activities.
To do that, we only need to look back into ecology and calculate what they
contribute back to the system in terms of well-being measured as a physical
thing i.e. what does the activity equals to in terms of food, water, shelter,
medical aid, education and so forth.
This will radically change our current world’s outlook because what we
are practicing today is by rewarding someone based on what they contribute back
to the current system in terms of financial exclusivity measured as an approximate
monetary value in the forms of assets, resources, wealth, policies, growth,
capital and so on.
When we structure our new society based on the core tenets of an
eco-economically driven culture, we will have uplifted our way of life and
become a civilization whose frame of reference in whatever we do are morally
justified, has a longer time-planning horizon, and is proficiently minimalistic
in space occupancy. We become the world’s moral agents.
So is this all so farfetched then, as to become irrational and
improbable? How we carry ourselves, advance our civilization, and uplift our
way of thinking into the next age of mankind will determine how much longer our
existence remains unchecked.
Arthur C. Clarke, my favourite muse and arguably one of the most
prolific sci-fi storytellers once penned:
“In my wildest dreams, I would never have imagined that, less than two
decades after this book (Earthlight)
was written, I would receive a beautiful three-dimensional map of the Mare Imbrium, showing the track of the
Lunar Rover skirting a crater labeled ‘Earthlight’ – and bearing the
inscription ‘To Arthur Clarke with best
personal regards from the crew of Apollo 15 and many thanks for your visions in
space.’ – – (Signed) Dave Scott, Al
Worden and Jim Irwin.”
If Arthur can dream, so should we.
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